PRTM company on March 26, 2010 release of market forecasts that the global large-size lithium-ion batteries such as Li-ion battery market in the next few years, capacity will be a lot of surplus, by 2015 more than 100%.
However, Global E-Mobility Practice said, the long term, excess capacity concept is unfounded, and, in fact, may require a substantial increase in the ability to support the electric vehicle transportation market long-term growth.
PRTM’s assessment was based on market dynamics:
• In the “most likely” case, the battery manufacturing capacity in 2016 will be a shortfall, a number of battery manufacturers have recently announced additional capacity investment, in order to avoid the lithium-ion battery to the 2017 shortage of 30%.
• Lithium-ion battery the total market in 2020 will require about 200GWh capacity, which is so far declared sure you want to increase the capacity of 50GWh 4 times.
• A top of the battery manufacturers on the global assessment of the impact that the United States and Europe are facing in the battery manufacturing capacity deficiencies.
• Asia has so far been a consumer electronics use lithium-ion battery production centers. As the world many countries are considering building Vehicles Battery manufacturing facility to meet rising electric vehicle transportation sector demand, at the current level of investment in Asia is still Ding Wei in Shi Qi to maintain the world’s leading automotive battery net export zones status. The United States and Europe so far the battery production investment, overseas investment continued to rise, will increase global competition. These investments include non-automotive battery market, the investment account is expected by 2020 will reach 60 billion U.S. dollars. The venture also included for this sector to create high-quality staff jobs.
PRTM analysis, electric cars and plug-in hybrids (PHEVs) by 2020 is expected to account for global market share of nearly 10%.